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The Economy Ed…

China’s property crisis is really a capital crisis The state can delay panic, but not restore trust by force China must shift from land-led growth to household and productivity-led growth Investment in housing in China has h

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Aoife Brennan

Long-Entrenched Deflation Gives Way to Price Rebound Triggered by Iran Conflict Beijing’s Advanced Manufacturing Push Shows Limited Effect on Domestic Consumption Defense Spending Continues to Climb as Consumption Recovery Measures Lose Momentum

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Aoife Brennan

Google Parent Alphabet Moves to Issue Samurai Bonds Amid Expanding Capital Spending Samurai Bonds, Long a Secondary Option for U.S.

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

Copper Consumption Surges Amid AI Infrastructure Expansion Supply Chain Constraints and Lack of New Mines Add Upward Pressure on Copper Prices Big Tech Moves to Secure Copper Mines as Long-Term Supply Shortage Looms View of an

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The Economy Ed…

India’s IPO boom is growing faster than its market depth Thin liquidity makes many new stocks volatile after listing Reform must build patient investors, wider float, and stronger post-IPO trading Only 9.5% of Indian hous

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Matthew Reuter

Gasoline Price Spike and Collapse in Consumer Sentiment Fuel Inflation Fears Resilient Employment and Consumption Undermine Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Market Focus Shifts to UAE Output Card and Saudi OSP Cuts U.S.

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Tyler Hansbrough

Regis Resources and Vault Minerals Agree to All-Share Merger Wave of Gold Mining M&A Points to Sector Restructuring Amid Bullion Rally Clear Mid- to Long-Term Drivers for Gold Upside; Iran War and U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

Cross-border capital buffers can make one country safer while shifting risk to another Multinational banks expose the limits of national financial regulation Global coordination is now the hardest test for macroprudential policy

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The Economy Ed…

Fed independence is now central to the dollar’s credibility Political pressure on the Fed can weaken trust, raise risk, and hurt currency value For a reserve-currency country, protecting the central bank is also protecting national financial power

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The Economy Ed…

Hormuz inflation depends on reopening speed Fast trade recovery could ease price pressure Policy should track ships before overreacting Every day, an average of 20 million barrels of oil and products pass through Horm

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The Economy Ed…

Oil shocks are real supply shocks They spread through transport, food and industry Policy must reduce forced oil dependence The most relevant number in the oil debate today is not the day-to-day price of Brent but rather 20.9 millio

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Tyler Hansbrough

German Auto Sector Reels From Collapse in Chinese Demand, Supply Chains Simultaneously Destabilized China Surges Ahead in EV Race as EU Electrification Mandates and High-Cost Structure Tighten Pressure Berlin Launches Full-Scale Countermeasures, Redirecting Manufacturing Base Toward Defense Production

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The Economy Ed…

Judge CEO pay by market cycles, not outrage High pay can reflect real risk and value saved Boards must reward skill, not market luck One number puts reason out of count on why the

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The Economy Ed…

Global labour supply is now a measure of competitive strength The US and UK rebounded faster than France and Germany after 2010 France and Germany risk falling behind if skills, participation, and effective labour input rise too slowly

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Matthew Reuter

Japan urges MBK to halt acquisition of Makino Milling Machine Conservative stance mirroring U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

China may be repeating Japan’s property crash The real risk is weak household demand Without reform, the slump may last years The crisis in China's property market is now old enough for the correct policy mistake to bec

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

Urgent need to address stablecoins as a threat to the global financial order Structural flaws in stablecoins, a flashpoint lurking in the regulatory blind spot Left unchecked, they could fuel risk-asset investment and trigger a “bank run” W

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Siobhán Delaney

A sweeping shift is underway in Europe’s M&A landscape as deregulation gathers pace U.S.

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The Economy Ed…

Banks need 24/7 liquidity, not just new tokens For users, both still depend on institutions The real gap is in the payment system itself In November 2015, just 0.7 percent of stablecoins were being transacted o

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

Global ultra-high-net-worth individuals accelerate exodus from the Middle East Reverse exodus unfolds as Dubai capital markets take a hit Switzerland and Hong Kong gain prominence on low taxes and geopolitical stability Scenic

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